Typhoon 30 (Champi): about 195 km from Ishigaki on 23 Oct, near Taipei on 24 Oct, west of Kyushu on 26 Oct

This week's news · Checked 2026-10-16

Update 23 Oct (JMA, 07:45 JST). At 07:00 JST Champi was south of Okinawa at 22.3°N 124.0°E, 955 hPa, "strong" and "large" (yesterday 915 hPa, "violent"), maximum winds 40 m/s (gusts 60 m/s), moving north-north-west at 15 km/h. Storm-force winds (25 m/s and above) reach 330 km on the north-west side; Ishigaki was about 225 km from the centre (our calculation). Forecast: 15:00 JST 23 Oct at 23.8°N 123.2°E, 965 hPa — about 115 km from Ishigaki, the closest point; 06:00 JST 24 Oct at 25.0°N 122.8°E, 975 hPa — about 125 km from Taipei; 03:00 JST 25 Oct a severe tropical storm in the East China Sea, 985 hPa; 03:00 JST 26 Oct a tropical storm at 32.5°N 129.1°E, 996 hPa — about 75 km from Nagasaki and about 170 km from Fukuoka; 03:00 JST 27 Oct a low at 34.4°N 138.9°E, 998 hPa — about 165 km south-west of Tokyo (distances are our calculation from JMA's positions). New today: Champi is much weaker, but the leftover low is now forecast to run along Japan's south coast to near Tokyo on 27 Oct. Ishigaki and Miyako: today and tomorrow are the windy days. Flying into Fukuoka or Nagasaki on 25–26 Oct, or Tokyo on 26–27 Oct: check your airline on 24–25 Oct.

Update 22 Oct (JMA, 09:45 JST). At 09:00 JST Champi was at 20.3°N 126.0°E, 915 hPa, "violent" (yesterday 900 hPa), maximum winds 55 m/s (gusts 75 m/s), moving west-north-west at 20 km/h. Forecast: 09:00 JST 23 Oct at 22.7°N 123.9°E, "very strong", 940 hPa — about 185 km from Ishigaki; 09:00 JST 24 Oct at 25.3°N 122.9°E, "strong", 970 hPa — about 140 km from Taipei (yesterday about 70 km), storm-force winds out to 340 km on the east side; 09:00 JST 25 Oct a severe tropical storm in the East China Sea, 990 hPa; 09:00 JST 26 Oct an extratropical low at 33.6°N 129.0°E, 996 hPa, moving north-east at 30 km/h — about 130 km from Fukuoka and about 125 km from Nagasaki (our calculation from JMA's positions; yesterday about 210 km). New today: the track has moved east, closer to Ishigaki and Miyako on 23–24 Oct and closer to northern Kyushu on 26 Oct, though weaker by then. Flying into Fukuoka or Nagasaki on 25–27 Oct: check your airline on 24–25 Oct. Tokyo and Osaka are still far from the track.

Update 21 Oct (JMA, 09:45 JST). At 09:00 JST Champi was at 18.1°N 130.2°E, 900 hPa, "violent", maximum winds 60 m/s, moving west-north-west at 25 km/h. Forecast: 09:00 JST 23 Oct at 22.6°N 124.0°E, "very strong", 950 hPa — about 195 km from Ishigaki (about 280 km from Miyako); 09:00 JST 24 Oct at 25.5°N 122.0°E, "strong", 970 hPa — about 70 km from Taipei; 09:00 JST 26 Oct at 33.7°N 128.1°E, 996 hPa, moving north-east at 35 km/h — west of Kyushu, about 210 km from Fukuoka (our calculation from JMA's positions). The 5-day position is the least certain. New today: if you fly into Fukuoka or Nagasaki on 25–27 Oct, watch the JMA update on 24 Oct. Tokyo and Osaka are still far from the track.

Update 20 Oct (JMA, 09:45 JST). At 09:00 JST Champi was east of the Philippines (16.0°N, 135.6°E), 945 hPa, "very strong", maximum sustained winds 50 m/s (gusts 70 m/s), moving west-north-west at 20 km/h. JMA forecasts "violent", 935 hPa, 55 m/s from tonight into 21 Oct (yesterday's forecast said 920 hPa), then: 09:00 JST 23 Oct centre south of Okinawa (22.5°N, 124.3°E), 940 hPa, storm-force winds out to 410 km; 09:00 JST 24 Oct centre just north of Taiwan (25.4°N, 122.1°E), "strong", 955 hPa; 09:00 JST 25 Oct in the East China Sea (28.7°N, 121.9°E), weakening to a severe tropical storm, 980 hPa.

From those coordinates (our calculation): on 23 Oct Ishigaki is about 205 km from the forecast centre (260 km in yesterday's forecast), Yonaguni 255 km, Miyako 275 km, Naha 535 km. On 24 Oct the centre is about 70 km from Taipei and 140 km from Yonaguni. Tokyo, Osaka and Fukuoka stay well away from the track.

• Ishigaki, Miyako, Yonaguni (22–24 Oct): the track is getting closer. Expect flight and ferry cancellations on 23–24 Oct; move the trip if you can.
• Taipei or a Taiwan stopover (23–25 Oct): the forecast centre now passes close to Taipei on the morning of 24 Oct — check your airline on 22 Oct.
• Naha, mainland Japan: Naha stays outside the storm-force area on the forecast centre line; Tokyo and Osaka are not affected.

Update 19 Oct (JMA, 09:45 JST). At 09:00 JST Champi was east of the Philippines (14.0°N, 139.3°E), 950 hPa, "very strong", maximum sustained winds 50 m/s (gusts 70 m/s), moving west-north-west at 20 km/h. JMA now forecasts "violent", 920 hPa, 55 m/s on 21–22 Oct, then: 09:00 JST 23 Oct centre south of Okinawa (22.0°N, 124.3°E), 935 hPa, probability circle 185 km, storm-force winds out to 430 km; 09:00 JST 24 Oct centre over Taiwan (24.2°N, 120.8°E), weakening to a severe tropical storm, 980 hPa.

From those coordinates (our calculation): on 23 Oct Ishigaki is about 260 km from the forecast centre (380 km in yesterday's forecast), Miyako 330 km, Naha 580 km. On 24 Oct the centre is about 120 km from Taipei. Tokyo, Osaka and Fukuoka stay more than 1,400 km away throughout the forecast.

• Ishigaki, Miyako (22–24 Oct): inside the possible storm-force area on 23 Oct. Expect flight and ferry cancellations; move the trip if you can, or choose free cancellation.
• Taipei or a Taiwan stopover (23–25 Oct): the forecast now goes into Taiwan on 24 Oct — check your airline on 22 Oct.
• Naha, mainland Japan: Naha is outside the storm-force area on the forecast centre line; Tokyo and Osaka are not affected by this typhoon.

Update 18 Oct (JMA, 09:45 JST). Champi is now "very strong": at 09:00 JST its centre was in the Mariana Islands (13.1°N, 143.5°E), 945 hPa, maximum sustained winds 50 m/s (gusts 70 m/s), moving west at 25 km/h. JMA forecasts it to become "violent", 935 hPa, 55 m/s by 21:00 JST tonight, then to move north-west at "very strong" intensity to the end of the forecast. 09:00 JST 23 Oct: centre south of Okinawa (20.9°N, 123.9°E), 935 hPa, probability circle 220 km, storm-force winds (25 m/s and above) out to 440 km from the centre.

From those coordinates (our calculation): Ishigaki is about 380 km away, Miyako 460 km, Naha 700 km, Taipei 520 km. So Ishigaki and Miyako are within reach of the possible storm-force area on 23 Oct; Naha is on the edge. The 16 Oct forecast put the 21 Oct centre far east of the Philippines; today's track is further west and closer to the Yaeyama Islands.

• Flying to Ishigaki or Miyako, or connecting at Naha, on 22–25 Oct: check your flight status on 21 Oct; choose rooms with free cancellation.
• Tokyo, Osaka, Kyoto, Fukuoka, Hokkaido: across the five-day forecast the centre stays more than 1,500 km from these cities (closest: Fukuoka 1,550 km, Osaka 1,860 km, Tokyo 2,130 km; our calculation) — not affected so far.
• The track after 23 Oct is not yet in any official forecast. We update this page when JMA changes its forecast.

First information (16 Oct).

What happened. JMA issued its first information on Typhoon No. 30 (Champi) at 09:45 JST on 16 October 2026. At 09:00 JST its centre was in the waters near the Chuuk Islands (11.1°N, 154.1°E — roughly 3,000 km south-east of Tokyo, our calculation from JMA's coordinates), 994 hPa, maximum sustained winds 23 m/s (gusts 35 m/s), moving west at 20 km/h. JMA's forecast: 17 Oct 980 hPa near the Mariana Islands; 18 Oct 965 hPa (40 m/s); 19 Oct 950 hPa (45 m/s) still in the Marianas; 20 Oct 940 hPa east of the Philippines; 21 Oct 09:00 935 hPa, 50 m/s east of the Philippines (19.8°N, 132.2°E), with a 280 km probability circle.

What it means for you. Through 21 October this typhoon is not approaching Japan — flights to Tokyo, Osaka, Fukuoka and Okinawa this weekend and early next week are not affected by it. What to watch is after 21 Oct: on that date the centre is expected roughly 850 km south-south-east of Naha (our calculation), still moving north-west and very strong. Where it goes next is not yet in any official forecast — JMA only issues a five-day track. Typhoon 29 (Koguma) earlier this month passed east of Japan without hitting Tokyo or Osaka (JMA, 13 Oct).

What to do now. If you fly to Okinawa or Kyushu between 22 and 26 October, check JMA's forecast again on 19–20 Oct and choose rooms with free cancellation so one night can be moved: Fukuoka hotels for 2 adults + 2 children on Trip.com (price depends on dates). Japan's weather by month and the typhoon season: Japan weather by month. Affiliate links may be used; your price does not change.